2016年12月27日星期二

Roethlisberger in Washington the first week, he voted 300 yards

We think of traditional fantasy football in terms of a full season—Week 1 through Week 17. But season-long owners could benefit from more of the DFS mentality. Season-long fantasy football may encapsulate September through December, but it’s really a collection of weekly games, wrapped up into one, neat package. A player may be great on the whole, but all it takes is one bad week in the playoffs for your superstar to help sink your season.

Therein lies the issue staring Ben Roethlisberger owners in the face this week.

By now, even an analytical Luddite knows that Roethlisberger is a different quarterback when he plays away from Heinz Field. Roethlisberger has played five games at home and seven games on the road this season. In those five home games, he has completed 70.5% of his passes for 1,636 yards, 8.48 yards per attempt, 17 touchdowns and three interceptions. Roethlisberger is averaging 26.37 standard-league points per game at home, and has scored at least 18.56 points in all of those games.

The tune is very different in those seven road games. While he hasn’t been a complete mess in every road game, Roethlisberger’s numbers in any city other than Pittsburgh are a far cry from what he does in the Steel City. He has completed 59.5% of his passes for 1,618 yards (fewer yards than at home despite two more games on the road), 6.55 YPA, and eight touchdowns against eight interceptions. Even with the help of his lone rushing score of the season, Roethlisberger is averaging 15.18 points per game on the road. Comparing him with other quarterbacks, when he’s at home he scores like Aaron Rodgers at his best. When he’s on the road, he resembles the fantasy output of an average day for Broncos QB Trevor Siemian. Washington Roebling might not be able to build a bridge that spans a gulf that wide.

Roethlisberger’s owners’ angst is perfectly understandable with the Steelers visiting the Bengals on Sunday. They may not be in this position without what he did in the regular season, but his struggles on the road could dash their dreams two wins shy of a fantasy championship.Despite the ugliness of the above paragraph, I’m here to sound a note of caution. Unless you somehow own Roethisberger and Rodgers, or Roethlisberger and Matt Ryan, or Roethlisberger and Kirk Cousins, you’ll want to trust the Steelers signal caller this week.www.cincinnatibengalsjerseyspop.com

Let’s start with something referenced a little earlier. Roethlisberger hasn’t been a complete disaster in every road game this season. In Week 1 at Washington, he threw for 300 yards, 8.11 YPA and three touchdowns against one pick. On Thanksgiving night in Indianapolis, he totaled 221 yards, 11.05 YPA and three scores, and likely would have gone for more had the Colts kept the game close.

The obvious counter to that is that one game was played in warm weather, and the other was indoors. The high temperature forecast for Cincinnati this Sunday is 25 degrees. Roethlisberger’s home/road splits stretch back before this season, but he has had success in cold weather road games in recent years. Last January in Cleveland, wholesale NFL jerseys free shipping he threw for 349 yards, 9.69 YPA, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Two years ago in Cincinnati, he racked up 350 yards, 8.97 YPA and three touchdowns on Dec. 7.

Most importantly, though, is that Roethlisberger’s road woes aren’t bad enough to force you to go to the stream this week. Do you really want to play Alex Smith over Roethlisberger because Smith has a better setup on paper? Are you really going to trust Colin Kaepernick rather than Roethlisberger, thanks to Kaepernick’s matchup with the Falcons? More often than not, those are the decisions that cost fantasy owners a championship. Stick with Roethlisberger. He will not let you down.www.miamidolphinsjerseyspop.com

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